Objective: Severe COVID-19 is associated with pneumonia, acute respiratory distress syndrome, septic shock, and multiorgan failure. High mobility group box-1 (HMGB1) is a damage-associated molecular pattern involved in inflammatory responses and hypoxia-related tissue injury. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between serum HMGB1 levels and chest computed tomography (CT) findings, intensive care unit (ICU) requirement, and mortality in patients with COVID-19.
Materials and Methods: This observational study included adult patients hospitalized with reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR)-confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. According to chest CT findings, patients were classified into four groups based on the presence and extent of pulmonary involvement (no involvement, <33%, 33–66%, and >66%). Serum HMGB1 levels were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Clinical, laboratory, radiological, ICU admission, and mortality outcomes were analyzed.
Results: A total of 251 patients (121 females, 130 males; mean age 52.2 ± 19.0 years) were included. Serum HMGB1 levels increased progressively with radiological severity, from 909.2 ± 222.1 pg/mL in patients without lung involvement to 3662.9 ± 679.4 pg/mL in those with severe lung involvement (p = 0.001). HMGB1 levels were also higher in ICU patients and non-survivors (p = 0.001 for both). HMGB1 correlated with inflammatory and organ injury markers, showing the strongest correlation with C-reactive protein (CRP) (r = 0.692, p = 0.001). In multivariate analysis, HMGB1 remained independently associated with lung involvement (OR 1.021, 95% CI 1.008–1.034; p = 0.001). ROC analysis demonstrated limited discrimination for lung involvement (AUC = 0.392; cut-off ≥1847.54 pg/mL) and severe lung involvement (AUC = 0.420; cut-off ≥2477.54 pg/mL).
Conclusion: HMGB1 may serve as a complementary inflammatory biomarker reflecting pulmonary involvement and disease severity in COVID-19. ROC-derived cut-off values may facilitate risk stratification; however, further prospective studies are required to validate their clinical utility.
Keywords: COVID-19, HMGB1 protein, lung diseases, tomography, x-ray computed, disease severity, intensive care units, mortality